Political Instability Index

The Economist Intelligence Unit has predicted that the likelihood of political unrest has increased for most countries since 2007. A total of 95 countries are rated as being at “very high risk” or “high risk”, and Zimbabwe is considered to be the most vulnerable of all the 165 countries surveyed. Only 17 countries, led by Norway, are deemed to have “low risk” of political turmoil. See EIU’s Political Instability Index.

With seven of the ten most vulnerable countries coming from Africa, that continent continues to be the most politically instable region in the world.

But South Asia doesn’t fare much better. Afghanistan, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal and Sri Lanka are all among the 27 countries rated to have “very high risk” of political and social turmoil. Bhutan and India, both rated to be at “moderate risk”, are the least vulnerable to political strife among South Asian countries.

EIU’s Political Instability Index was prepared by rating each country for its “economic distress” and “underlying vulnerability to unrest.”


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  1. Anonymous says

    I couldn’t imagine Bhutan among one of the top vulnerable countries for political instabilty given that we only became a democratic ( constitutional democratic) country a year ago. And i hope and pray that this will be always true for Bhutan.

    I also want to mention that we owe our stability, security and soverignity to our great and selfless kings. And as our country transitions from being a monarchy to a constitutional democracy, I hope that our leaders find inspiration and motivation from our Kings ( past and present)
    We are young ( very young infact). This puts us into a far greater advantage that we care to look.
    We can learn from the mistakes made by other countries and avoid doing the same. His Majesty the 4th King Jigme Singye Wangchuck aspired for Bhutan to remain a unique country rich in culture,tradition and most importantly illustrate good governance.

    Today, most poilitical instabilty are due to reasons mostly related to people/public/ctizens being discontent with the Government. This has never happened in Bhutan and we hope this never happens in the future.

    The new Government indeed has many challenges. Of course, keeping the promises they made during the campaigns goes without saying but most of all , the current Government has the resonsibility of establishing the foundation of a good, strong and lasting democracy in the country. It is from this Government that we will carry on the legacy and culture of what is to become of the gift to the people in Bhutan.

    we sincerely hope that the new government truly works to create “equity and justice’ as they promised at every level and field.

  2. Bhutanese Blogger says

    A few weeks ago, I read a letter from a US Government official in The Economist clarifying a quote (supposedly misinterpreted by The Economist) by President Obama which was misinterpreted.

    I would expect something similar from our leaders as well.

    I am disheartened that Your Excellency has chosen to blog this but do not have any opinion on this index.

    Will this not be (mis)construed as an acknowledgement of the reported ‘moderate risk’? Would not the readers assume that you agree that we have become more vulnerable since 2007?

    This may send out wrong signals to everybody and can the decisions of many individuals (like foreign investors).

    I raise this concerns because you are one of the leaders within Bhutan and you are looked up-to.

    Providing information is not good enough for you. I think what you must strive to do is communicate. I believe ‘providing information’ and ‘communication’ are two entirely different things.

  3. Bhutanese Blogger says

    correction – para 4, line 2

    — can IMPACT the decisions of many —

  4. Tshering Tobgay says

    Dear Bhutanese Blogger: Yes, I do have opinions on the Political Instability Index. But I chose to remain nutreual in order to encourage readers to think about the index and what it may, or may not, mean for us.

    The Political Instability Index has a link describing how the index was calculated. My opinions come from there. I’ll write about them in a few days.

    Thanks for your comments


  1. […] a month ago I’d written about the Political Instability Index, EIU’s forecast of the likelihood of political unrest for165 countries. The Index ranked Norway as […]

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